[ACCEPTED]-How do I simulate biased die in python?-probability
A little bit of math here.
A regular die 24 will give each number 1-6 with equal probability, namely 23 1/6
. This is referred to as uniform distribution (the discrete 22 version of it, as opposed to the continuous 21 version). Meaning that if X
is a random variable 20 describing the result of a single role then 19 X~U[1,6]
- meaning X
is distributed equally against 18 all possible results of the die roll, 1 17 through 6.
This is equal to choosing a number 16 in [0,1)
while dividing it into 6 sections: [0,1/6)
, [1/6,2/6)
, [2/6,3/6)
, [3/6,4/6)
, [4/6,5/6)
, [5/6,1)
.
You 15 are requesting a different distribution, which 14 is biased.
The easiest way to achieve this 13 is to divide the section [0,1)
to 6 parts depending 12 on the bias you want. So in your case you 11 would want to divide it into the following:
[0,0.2)
, [0.2,0.4)
, [0.4,0.55)
, 0.55,0.7)
, [0.7,0.84)
, [0.84,1)
.
If 10 you take a look at the wikipedia entry, you will see that 9 in this case, the cumulative probability 8 function will not be composed of 6 equal-length 7 parts but rather of 6 parts which differ 6 in length according to the bias you gave them. Same 5 goes for the mass distribution.
Back to the 4 question, depending on the language you 3 are using, translate this back to your die 2 roll. In Python, here is a very sketchy, albeit 1 working, example:
import random
sampleMassDist = (0.2, 0.1, 0.15, 0.15, 0.25, 0.15)
# assume sum of bias is 1
def roll(massDist):
randRoll = random.random() # in [0,1]
sum = 0
result = 1
for mass in massDist:
sum += mass
if randRoll < sum:
return result
result+=1
print(roll(sampleMassDist))
More language agnostic, but you could use 2 a lookup table.
Use a random number in the 1 range 0-1 and lookup the value in a table:
0.00 - 0.20 1
0.20 - 0.40 2
0.40 - 0.55 3
0.55 - 0.70 4
0.70 - 0.84 5
0.84 - 1.00 6
import random
def roll(sides, bias_list):
assert len(bias_list) == sides
number = random.uniform(0, sum(bias_list))
current = 0
for i, bias in enumerate(bias_list):
current += bias
if number <= current:
return i + 1
The bias will be proportional.
>>> print roll(6, (0.20, 0.20, 0.15, 0.15, 0.14, 0.16))
6
>>> print roll(6, (0.20, 0.20, 0.15, 0.15, 0.14, 0.16))
2
Could use 1 integers too (better):
>>> print roll(6, (10, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1))
5
>>> print roll(6, (10, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1))
1
>>> print roll(6, (10, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1))
1
>>> print roll(6, (10, 5, 5, 10, 4, 8))
2
>>> print roll(6, (1,) * 6)
4
It is a little surprising that the np.random.choice
answer 5 hasn't been given here.
from numpy import random
def roll(N,bias):
'''this function rolls N dimensional die with biasing provided'''
return random.choice(np.range(N),p=bias)
The p option gives 4 "the probabilities associated with 3 each entry in a", where a is np.range(N)
for us. "If 2 not given the sample assumes a uniform distribution 1 over all entries in a".
See the recipe for Walker's alias method for random objects with 3 different probablities.
An example, strings 2 A B C or D with probabilities .1 .2 .3 .4 1 --
abcd = dict( A=1, D=4, C=3, B=2 )
# keys can be any immutables: 2d points, colors, atoms ...
wrand = Walkerrandom( abcd.values(), abcd.keys() )
wrand.random() # each call -> "A" "B" "C" or "D"
# fast: 1 randint(), 1 uniform(), table lookup
cheers
-- denis
Just to suggest a more efficient (and pythonic3) solution, one 8 can use bisect to search in the vector of accumulated 7 values — that can moreover be precomputed 6 and stored in the hope that subsequent calls 5 to the function will refer to the same "bias" (to 4 follow the question parlance).
from bisect import bisect
from itertools import accumulate
from random import uniform
def pick( amplitudes ):
if pick.amplitudes != amplitudes:
pick.dist = list( accumulate( amplitudes ) )
pick.amplitudes = amplitudes
return bisect( pick.dist, uniform( 0, pick.dist[ -1 ] ) )
pick.amplitudes = None
In absence 3 of Python 3 accumulate, one can just write 2 a simple loop to compute the cumulative 1 sum.
from random import random
biases = [0.0,0.3,0.5,0.99]
coins = [1 if random()<bias else 0 for bias in biases]
0
i have created a code for a dictionary giving 3 a event and corresponding probability, it 2 gives back the corresponding key ie the 1 event of that probability.
import random
def WeightedDie(Probabilities):
high_p = 0
rand = random.uniform(0,1)
for j,i in Probabilities.items():
high_p = high_p + i
if rand< high_p:
return j
We could use numpy
's multinomial
distribution too
import numpy as np
bias = [0.10,0.10,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05] # a 10-sided biased die
np.where(np.random.multinomial(1, bias, size=1)[0]==1)[0][0]+1 # just 1 roll
# 4
If you 3 want to roll the biased die (with the given 2 bias
probabilities) for n
times, use the following 1 function
def roll(probs, ntimes): # roll a len(probs) sided biased die with bias probs for ntimes
return np.apply_along_axis(lambda x: x.tolist().index(1)+1, 1,
np.random.multinomial(1, bias, size=10)).tolist()
roll(probs=bias, ntimes=10) # 10 rolls
# [5, 6, 8, 4, 8, 3, 1, 5, 8, 6]
For python 3.6 and above, you can make use 3 of random's choices() method already part 2 of stdlib. To simulate the die in your example, the 1 equivalent code would be:-
import random
def roll(N, bias_list):
return random.choices(list(range(N)), weights=bias_list, k=1)[-1]
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